The main drivers of GDP growth remain construction, manufacturing, transport and warehousing, trade and agriculture.
In the manufacturing industry, growth in the volume index is expected to continue in January–September. The main contributors will be the mechanical engineering and chemical industries.
In the first eight months of 2026, passenger car production in mechanical engineering increased by 34.2%, reaching 117,200 units. Production of trucks and special-purpose vehicles increased by 18.5%, railway platforms by 76.6%, and passenger cars by 40.9%. In the chemical industry, sulfuric acid production increased by 4%, polypropylene by 24.5%, and ammophos by 10.3%.
Meanwhile, the metallurgy industry's raw material availability remains at 97.5%. To improve these indicators, measures are being taken to expand the raw material base. Negotiations are underway with potential suppliers both domestically and internationally.
Serik Zhumangarin heard a report on the measures being taken by the Ministry of Industry and Construction, in conjunction with the Ministry of Trade and Integration, to provide enterprises with additional raw materials. Following the discussions, he instructed that efforts to expand the raw material base for the metallurgical industry be continued.
Positive momentum continues in construction. From January to August, construction volume amounted to 6.1 trillion tenge, or 115.6% compared to the same period last year. Growth was noted in 18 regions. An increase in construction volume is projected for the first nine months. At the same time, growth in housing construction continues: 11.3 million square meters of housing were commissioned in the first eight months, 3.6% more than last year. By the end of the first nine months, 12.8 million square meters of housing are projected to be commissioned.
The transport and logistics sector continues to show positive momentum. Rail transportation of grain and coal will be the main contributor to freight growth. Grain shipments reached 13.6 million tonnes, an increase of 3 million tonnes, coal by 1.1 million tonnes, and iron ore by 2.8 million tonnes. Continued oil and gas transportation volumes and the implementation of infrastructure projects will also support this growth.
Trade continues to make a significant contribution to economic growth. The trade index for January-August was 106%, with turnover reaching 51.5 trillion tenge. Steady growth is projected for the first nine months. Wholesale trade contributed the most, reaching 34.7 trillion tenge, driven in part by growth in trade in metallurgical products, grain, and fuel. Retail trade turnover reached 17 trillion tenge, with the highest growth rates seen in food products.
Regional trade development issues were also discussed at the meeting. The Deputy Prime Minister tasked the akimats with ensuring the high-quality implementation of regional trade development roadmaps in accordance with the Prime Minister's instructions.
In the agro-industrial complex, steady growth in agriculture is expected from January to September. This positive trend is projected to continue through the end of the year. Crop production will contribute primarily to this growth, driven by an increase in the gross oilseed harvest, which is higher than last year's. In livestock production, growth will be supported by increased milk production as modern dairy farms reach their design capacity, as well as increased meat production thanks to preferential lending for feedlots.
The food industry is making an additional contribution to economic growth. Positive production dynamics are expected from January to September due to the launch of new capacity and increased output at existing plants.
In conclusion, Serik Zhumangarin emphasized that at the end of the first three quarters, it is important to ensure that forecast indicators are met across all key industries.
By the Kazakhstanskaya Pravda
